BACKGROUND
The decision is about the control of the large and important area of ​​the Middle East, an area in which the State of Israel is only a small but significant part of it.

An area where a major part of the world's energy reserves, oil and natural gas, are concentrated.

An area where a significant part of the world's maritime traffic takes place.

This decision is now fast approaching, and is likely to be reached within the next year, 2025.

WHY? THREE IMPORTANT DEVELOPMENTS OF THE LAST YEAR

1. The war that started by surprise with the massacre of October 7, 2023

The fact is, the exact date for the start of the war and the configuration of the attack and massacre on the settlements surrounding Gaza and the State of Israel was determined by one person, Yahya Sinwar. The man was the only leader of the Hamas organization that completely controlled the Gaza Strip.

Part of Sinwar's decision was made with the 2024 elections in mind. Hamas did not want to confront the most hostile American administration they could expect, the administration led by President Donald Trump.

2. Iran's #1 strategic mistake

The Iranians and their sponsoring organizations led by the Hezbollah organization were dragged into this war, a war initiated by the Yahya Sinwar and here they made their biggest strategic mistake.

They forced the State of Israel and the IDF, which unfortunately were in a continuous process, a slow but multi-year process of stagnation, to recover and go to war, which we did not estimate would break out.

They forced the USA, also with the current administration, to support the State of Israel in this war.

Support through military aid on an unprecedented scale and participating in the defense against attacks from Iran and the Houthis in Yemen.

3. Iran's #2 strategic mistake

They, and for the first time in world military history, directly attacked the State of Israel with hundreds of heavy and long-range precision missiles.

Their excuse was that we killed some Iranian general near the Iranian embassy in Damascus.

In doing so, they allowed the State of Israel and the IDF to attack Iran directly and with great force and cause heavy damage there.

In doing so, they enabled the State of Israel to gain global political legitimacy to carry out a massive attack on the Revolutionary Guards and the regime in Iran.

Analysis of the current strategic situation:

1: The IDF and the State of Israel, and at a heavy cost in blood, occupied the Gaza Strip, destroyed a significant part of the Gaza Strip and turned most of its residents into refugees.

The Hamas organization and its leadership as an organized military entity were eliminated.

2: A. The IDF and the State of Israel, and at a heavy cost in blood, occupied the area near the border of the State of Israel with Lebanon and during this ongoing process they destroyed the terrorist infrastructure of Hezbollah and also along the way dozens of villages and towns and neighborhoods in the big cities were destroyed.

The expansion of the territory held by the IDF in Lebanon continues to be carried in every day that goes by.

B. Over a million of Lebanon's residents, most of them members of the Shia community who are the power base of the Hezbollah organization, became refugees and lost their property.

We are also talking about the residents of the Shia cities and neighborhoods, including in Beirut, Nabatia, Baalbek and Tyre, cities that were not conquered but were destroyed from the air.

C. Many thousands of Hizbollah commanders and operatives were killed or injured, and this process continues.

D. Most of the military and political leadership of this terrorist organization, the most powerful in the world, was eliminated. The most important of all, was the elimination of their only leader in 30 years, Hassan Nasrallah.

E. The No. 1 threat to the Israeli home front has been destroyed.

Most of the rocket power and missiles of an organization, about 80%+ of Hezbollah's rocket power, has been destroyed. It was a rocket force built with great Iranian investment over decades, a force of unprecedented global scope, this force was destroyed.

F. Donald Trump was elected to be the president of the United States and his control over the mechanisms of power is complete.

The man and his team of senior aides have a long and heavy reckoning with the current regime in Tehran, and in my estimation they will be attentive to the request of the majority of the residents of the region as well as the residents of Iran, to bring about the elimination of the current fundamentalist regime led by Ali Khamenei.

CONCLUSION

Now all roads lead to war with the Revolutionary Guards and the current government in Tehran.

A war that would not have happened, certainly not at this time

1. If the current regime in Iran had nuclear weapons.

2. If the Gazan leader struck by delusions of grandeur, Yahya Sinwar would not have initiated and carried out the October 7 massacre.

3. If the IDF and the intelligence systems of the State of Israel were properly prepared to thwart the attack.