The IDF has intensified its offensive against Hezbollah, targeting its stronghold in Dahiyeh, southern Beirut.
Key facilities, including command centers and weapon stockpiles, have been hit, resulting in the deaths of numerous senior commanders, including Hassan Nasrallah and his likely successor, Hashem Safieddine.
Over 2,250 Hezbollah fighters have been killed, and significant portions of their arsenal—once totaling about 150,000 rockets—have been reduced to roughly 20% of that number.
Recent strikes have also killed Muhammad Afif, head of Hezbollah's propaganda unit, highlighting the ongoing campaign to weaken the group's military capabilities and influence. As Israel's airstrikes continue to devastate Dahiyeh, Hezbollah's standing is visibly declining, with morale plummeting among its ranks.
While Hezbollah has aimed to preserve key units like its Radwan forces and maintain its position as Lebanon’s dominant military power, Israel has made its strategy of degrading Hezbollah’s military capabilities and weakening its stature clear.
The Lebanese, including the Shi’a, no longer listen to Hezbollah leaders. Their radios and televisions are tuned instead to the IDF Arabic-language spokesman, Col. Avichay Adraee. They listen to, and obey, his warnings about impending IDF attacks. Hezbollah’s claims of “victories” over the Zionists are no longer taken seriously.
The relentless strikes on Dahiyeh—captured in dramatic footage of collapsing high-rises—have visibly weakened Hezbollah’s standing. Israeli officials believe these actions will force the group into submission.
Hezbollah's rocket attacks on Israeli territory have increased, but Israel's response has been to escalate air operations, devastating high-rise buildings in Dahiyeh. Analysts indicate that this strategy is aimed at forcing Hezbollah into submission, as the group struggles to maintain its military edge amid heavy losses.
Hezbollah has reportedly lost a significant portion of its weapons and operational capacity, with estimates showing only a fraction of its initial rocket arsenal remains. In contrast, Israeli losses have been minimal, prompting the potential return of displaced Israelis to northern communities, signaling a shift in perceived threats from Hezbollah.
As negotiations for a ceasefire emerge, Hezbollah's willingness to consider terms reflects its weakened position, while Israel insists on firm guarantees for its security before any agreement is made.