Yoni Ben Menachem, researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Public and State Affairs, analyzes the recent events and refers to the appointment of Yahya Sinwar, the leader of Hamas, as the person who will manage the negotiations as the head of the political bureau of the terrorist organization: "Sinwar's election by Hamas to the position of head of the political bureau inflated his ego - and therefore he toughens his demands."

"Although he is not suitable for the position and cannot fulfill the role from the tunnels in Gaza," explains Ben Menachem, "he is trying to show both his military arm and the residents of the Gaza Strip that he is capable of doing everything. The same is true of the negotiations for the release of the hostages."

According to Ben-Menachem, Sinwar wants to be persuaded to participate in the talks for the release of the hostages, while putting pressure on Israel to obtain concessions - even before he has even reached the negotiating table. "His method is a blackmail machine against the Israeli government. Even when we are just before the signing of the agreement, he may return us to another round of blackmail."

According to estimates in Israel, the Iranians do not want to wait until after the summit in Qatar and it is possible that the attack will take place in the next day or even tonight. 

Ben Menachem, an orientalist and expert on the Middle East, emphasized: "We see that Sinwar is not satisfied with one attack, but wants it to flare up into a regional war. This is so that the IDF will be forced to move its forces from the Gaza Strip to the northern border, and release the military pressure on Hamas without being returned even one kidnapped Israeli."

Despite the record vigilance and assessments in Israel, sources in the Arab world report that many have begun to doubt the possibility of a combined attack by Iran and Hezbollah on Israel. "They don't want to admit that they are afraid of Israel, so they make many excuses and keep rejecting the response," explains the researcher, adding: "I believe that Israel should initiate a first attack on Hezbollah, so that they will be forced to enter the military conflict they are planning earlier in any event".

In summing up his remarks, Ben Menachem referred to the Israeli delegation to the negotiations that will leave next Thursday for Qatar: "The delegation that will leave for negotiations will be purely technical, probably of a lower level. However, we must also look at the efforts of the American Secretary of State, Anthony Blinken, and the US government "B to produce a regional consensus and restrain Hezbollah and Iran. In the end, it seems that Biden is currently trying to save the Democratic Party by trying to revive his ambitions for regional stability."