“We have seen a significant increase in the intensity and scope of attacks on non-evacuated areas,” Dana Polak, a researcher at the Alma Research and Education Center told The Press Service of Israel.

“Initially, these attacks constituted a small percentage of the overall strikes, but their frequency has been steadily rising,” she said.

Recent data reveals a troubling increase in the frequency and intensity of strikes on non-evacuated areas beyond a 5-kilometer radius from the Israel-Lebanon border. Safed in the Galilee, the coastal cities of Nahariya and Akko, and Golan communities, among others, have experienced a surge in attacks forcing residents to seek shelter.

According to Polak, 94.3% of the attacks occur within a 5-kilometer range, while 5.7% target areas beyond this range. In October, when Hezbollah first began launching rockets and drones, only three barrages went beyond the 5 km. But during June, 27 barrages reached non-evacuated areas.

She explained that attacks on non-evacuated areas tend to involve a larger volume of rockets lacking precision, making them more dangerous.

“In far-range attacks, they use statistical weaponry, which is not precise when it comes to rockets, and Hezbollah fires a much larger quantity. It could be dozens of rockets in one attack, or even hundreds, as we have seen this month. So, when we talk about the number of incidents in June, it was 27 attacks, not 27 rockets fired,” Polak explained.

“The inaccurate weaponry increases the impact on civilians in non-evacuated areas. For example, Hezbollah fired at a base in the Golan Heights, but the rockets actually landed outside the base, resulting in the deaths of a couple, Noa and Nir Baranes, who were driving on the road,” Polak said.

Image - Michael Giladi/Flash90