The chaotic situation in Syria is an Iranian attempt to undermine stability and try to make a "comeback" in Syria
Oded Eilam, former head of the Mossad's Counter-Terrorism Division and researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Foreign and Security Affairs on what is happening in Syria:
"The current clash between the forces of the new regime and Assad's Alawite loyalists constitutes a critical component in establishing Joulani's rule, and raises serious suspicion of an Iranian attempt to undermine stability and serve its interests in the region."
Elam adds: "Apparently, Joulani has succeeded in establishing his rule over large parts of Syria, but pockets of resistance still exist, and the true extent of his control remains unclear. He faces a significant test: Will he be able to suppress the resistance and consolidate his control in the face of increasing challenges?"
According to Eilam, entering a war of attrition and a bloodbath could be a weak point, providing an opportunity for opposition elements to undermine alliances and disintegrate the unified but fragile front he has created.
Joulani's main challenge is to create stability as quickly as possible. To this end, he enjoys mainly Turkish support. However, his main disadvantage lies in the lack of quality manpower. His order of forces is still not significant, and he certainly does not have sufficiently advanced military capabilities.